Landed value screener
Every landed resale in the last year, scored against the same comp model as the valuation tool — district and type median land $psf, adjusted for plot size and tenure. These are the sales that transacted furthest below the model. Treat them as leads to investigate, not proven bargains.
1,813
resales scored (12 mo)
103
15–55% below model
+10.2%
median sale vs model
-51%
biggest discount
Read before you get excited: a big discount to the model usually has a reason the data can’t see — an old or tear-down house, an awkward plot or frontage, a leasehold tail, or a masked/partial address. The screener finds where to look; you still have to find out why.
Biggest discounts to model (last 12 months)
| Date | Address | Type | Dist | Land sqft | Price | $psf | Model $psf | vs model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep 25 | 7 Jalan Uji | Detached | D23 | 5,122 | $1.68M | $328 | $663 | -51% |
| 7 May 26 | 70 Gentle Drive | Detached | D11 | 6,183 | $5.80M | $938 | $1,813 | -48% |
| 24 Nov 25 | 2 Serangoon Lane | Semi-D | D19 | 3,511 | $3.30M | $940 | $1,628 | -42% |
| 30 Jan 26 | 4 Fidelio Street | Terrace | D15 | 1,885 | $2.50M | $1,326 | $2,254 | -41% |
| 1 Dec 25 | 123 Serangoon Avenue 3 | Detached | D19 | 4,827 | $3.90M | $808 | $1,364 | -41% |
| 15 Jul 25 | 43 Meng Suan Road | Terrace | D26 | 1,936 | $2.24M | $1,158 | $1,953 | -41% |
| 9 Sep 25 | 18 Jalan Pergam | Semi-D | D16 | 3,973 | $2.65M | $667 | $1,103 | -40% |
| 31 Mar 26 | 102 Cove Drive | Detached | D4 | 7,855 | $9.30M | $1,184 | $1,942 | -39% |
| 24 Jun 26 | 52 Holland Grove View | Semi-D | D10 | 2,975 | $4.01M | $1,348 | $2,155 | -37% |
| 29 May 26 | 20 Jalan Pergam | Semi-D | D16 | 3,963 | $2.74M | $691 | $1,104 | -37% |
| 12 Jun 26 | 50 Mas Kuning Terrace | Terrace | D5 | 1,842 | $2.50M | $1,357 | $2,143 | -37% |
| 29 Oct 25 | 40 Chuan Drive | Semi-D | D19 | 4,133 | $4.10M | $992 | $1,535 | -35% |
| 15 Apr 26 | 23 Grove Lane | Semi-D | D10 | 8,277 | $9.82M | $1,187 | $1,798 | -34% |
| 17 Oct 25 | 17U Limau Garden | Semi-D | D16 | 5,732 | $3.68M | $642 | $966 | -34% |
| 19 Jan 26 | 4D Dyson Road | Detached | D11 | 10,058 | $15.50M | $1,541 | $2,300 | -33% |
| 23 Jan 26 | 63 Cove Drive | Detached | D4 | 8,806 | $11.50M | $1,306 | $1,912 | -32% |
| 10 Feb 26 | 17 Jalan Rindu | Terrace | D19 | 3,309 | $3.20M | $967 | $1,367 | -29% |
| 17 Nov 25 | 70 Jalan Kelichap | Terrace | D19 | 3,088 | $3.10M | $1,004 | $1,417 | -29% |
| 3 Jun 26 | 54 Belmont Road | GCB | D10 | 17,569 | $25.25M | $1,437 | $2,027 | -29% |
| 22 May 26 | 480 East Coast Road | Detached | D15 | 7,083 | $9.30M | $1,313 | $1,838 | -29% |
| 30 Jun 26 | 32 Moulmein Rise | Detached | D11 | 7,085 | $12.30M | $1,736 | $2,410 | -28% |
| 8 Jul 26 | 206 Ponggol Seventeenth Avenue | Detached | D19 | 6,519 | $6.18M | $948 | $1,311 | -28% |
| 22 Sep 25 | 8 Jalan Pergam | Semi-D | D16 | 3,946 | $3.20M | $811 | $1,106 | -27% |
| 23 Feb 26 | 43 Pasir Ris Heights | Terrace | D18 | 2,485 | $2.10M | $845 | $1,146 | -26% |
| 21 Jan 26 | 58A Lorong G Telok Kurau | Semi-D | D15 | 4,531 | $6.17M | $1,361 | $1,825 | -25% |
| 9 Jun 26 | 48A Lorong J Telok Kurau | Terrace | D15 | 5,964 | $7.04M | $1,180 | $1,582 | -25% |
| 3 Jun 26 | 52 Belmont Road | GCB | D10 | 24,185 | $34.75M | $1,437 | $1,925 | -25% |
| 26 Jan 26 | 11 Jalan Tari Piring | Terrace | D28 | 1,813 | $2.95M | $1,627 | $2,178 | -25% |
| 7 May 26 | 58 Lorong G Telok Kurau | Semi-D | D15 | 4,558 | $6.21M | $1,362 | $1,821 | -25% |
| 14 Aug 25 | 76 King's Drive | Semi-D | D10 | 2,427 | $4.22M | $1,739 | $2,320 | -25% |
How to use it
Work top-down: for each candidate, pull up the valuation tool for that district and type, check the street’s own record on its street page, and ask what the discount is paying for. If it’s an old house on good land in a rebuilding street, it may be a rebuild play (see rebuild economics); if it’s condition or tenure, the discount is fair.
A genuine mispricing is rare and quickly gone — but the ones worth chasing look cheap for a fixable reason, not a structural one.
How is this worked out? — model, window & limits
Sample
1,813 land-titled landed resales in the last 12 months, from URA caveat data. New sales and sub-sales are excluded.
Model
Fair land $psf = the district × type median (last 5y), adjusted for the sale’s plot size (per-type elasticity) and tenure — the same model as the valuation tool. Discount = sale $psf ÷ model − 1.
Limits: the model uses land area, tenure and location only — not age, condition, frontage or rebuild status, which is exactly what most discounts reflect. Discounts beyond ~55% are excluded as probable non-arm’s-length sales or data errors. This is a lead list, not a valuation or a buy signal.
For educational purposes only — not financial advice.