HomeResearch › The family-demand premium: is a good-school address really worth more?
Updated 11 Jul 2026 · 74,900 resale caveats · freehold-equivalent basis

The family-demand premium: is a good-school address really worth more?

TL;DR
+0.4%
family-size (1,000+) near school
-0.1%
small units near school
~0%
net $psf premium
74k+
resale caveats

Does a good-school address command a price premium?

Singapore parents chase the 1 km radius around an oversubscribed primary school for Phase-2C balloting priority, and the folklore says that address commands a $psf premium. We tested it: freehold-equivalent $psf of units within 1 km of an oversubscribed school, against same-district, same-year, same-size peers that aren’t.

Unit sizeNear-school premiumNear-school resales
small (<700)-0.1%9,678
mid (700–999)-0.1%13,129
family (1,000+)+0.4%27,541
Premium = median freehold-equivalent $psf of units within 1 km of an oversubscribed primary school vs peers in the same district, year and size band that are not.
Key finding — the premium is largely a myth at the $psf level. Near-school units trade within ±0.5% of comparable peers — small units -0.1%, family-sized (1,000+ sq ft) just +0.4%. Once you compare like-for-like within the same district and size, being near a top school adds essentially nothing extra to $psf. The school value is already baked into the district price you pay for the location.

So what does school access actually buy?

Not a higher $psf — but a deeper, stickier demand pool. Family units near a balloted school let more easily to families, sell to a motivated school-seeking buyer, and hold value through downturns because that demand is need-driven, not discretionary. The family-size figure edging just positive (vs small units flat-to-negative) is the faint trace of it. So the benefit is liquidity and resilience, not a price markup you can flip.

Investor verdict

Don’t overpay a $psf premium for a “1 km” address — there isn’t one to justify it. If a seller or agent prices a unit up purely for school proximity, that markup isn’t supported by the transaction data. What the address is worth is a steadier family buyer/tenant pool, which matters most for family-sized layouts near a genuinely oversubscribed school.

And confirm the school actually ballots — being “1 km from a school” is meaningless if it isn’t oversubscribed. See the schools & P1 odds page.

How to use this before you buy

Don’t pay a school markup on $psf

The data shows no like-for-like premium — treat a school-address price bump as negotiable.

Value it as demand insurance instead

For a family-sized unit near an oversubscribed school, the payoff is easier letting/resale, not a higher price.

Verify oversubscription and the true 1 km

Only balloted schools matter, and priority is by the stated distance rule — check the odds first.

How is this worked out? — method, data & limits
Sample
74,900 resale caveats (URA window). “Near school” = within 1 km of a primary school that is oversubscribed (Phase 2C ratio > 1.0).
Premium
Median freehold-equivalent $psf of near-school units ÷ the median of same-district, same-year, same-size-band peers that are not near an oversubscribed school — so district, timing, lease and size are held constant.
Limits: proximity by project centroid; affiliation and specific-school prestige not separated; a market-average, not a specific unit’s valuation.
For educational purposes only — not financial advice.
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