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Primary school popularity & P1 balloting

Official MOE 2025 P1 Registration data. Living within 1 km of a school gives first priority in the P1 ballot (then 1–2 km) — a real driver of housing demand. Start with the 30 most oversubscribed schools below (tap any for its nearby condos & map); expand for all 179, then go deeper on affiliation & secondary-school planning.

Top 30 most oversubscribed (Phase 2C)

Ranked by Phase 2C applicants ÷ vacancies — the open phase families without alumni/affiliation ties (most condo buyers) compete in. Tap a school for its nearby condos & map, or a column header to re-sort.

How is this worked out? — phases, data & sources

Source

MOE 2025 P1 Registration Exercise — the latest official release.

Phases

Phase 2B = community/volunteer/church-clan ties; Phase 2C = open to all (no prior links).

Applied / places

Demand vs vacancies; Ballot = more applicants than places (a ballot was held).

Note: MOE publishes per-school figures for the current exercise only — prior-year data is not re-released in machine-readable form, so we show 2025 rather than reproduce unofficial copies. Popularity is stable year-to-year, so 2025 is a reliable guide.

School ↕	Gender ↕	Phase 2B applied / places	Phase 2C applied / places	2C ratio ↕	2C balloted ↕
Princess Elizabeth Primary School	Co-ed	28 / 20	232 / 41	5.66x	Ballot
Nan Hua Primary School	Co-ed	40 / 21	166 / 41	4.05x	Ballot
South View Primary School	Co-ed	26 / 20	155 / 41	3.78x	Ballot
Northland Primary School	Co-ed	29 / 20	142 / 41	3.46x	Ballot
Chongfu School	Co-ed	39 / 20	138 / 40	3.45x	Ballot
Nan Chiau Primary School	Co-ed	102 / 42	269 / 85	3.16x	Ballot
St. Hilda's Primary School	Co-ed	29 / 20	136 / 43	3.16x	Ballot
Rosyth School	Co-ed	31 / 20	132 / 42	3.14x	Ballot
Angsana Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 20	167 / 59	2.83x	Ballot
Gongshang Primary School	Co-ed	17 / 20	117 / 44	2.66x	Ballot
Wellington Primary School	Co-ed	21 / 20	104 / 40	2.60x	Ballot
Maha Bodhi School	Co-ed	46 / 23	125 / 49	2.55x	Ballot
Hong Wen School	Co-ed	23 / 28	153 / 62	2.47x	Ballot
Rulang Primary School	Co-ed	30 / 20	98 / 40	2.45x	Ballot
Holy Innocents' Primary School	Co-ed	44 / 22	110 / 45	2.44x	Ballot
Kong Hwa School	Co-ed	49 / 24	118 / 49	2.41x	Ballot
Red Swastika School	Co-ed	42 / 20	93 / 41	2.27x	Ballot
Poi Ching School	Co-ed	42 / 47	212 / 99	2.14x	Ballot
Pei Chun Public School	Co-ed	32 / 21	94 / 45	2.09x	Ballot
Yangzheng Primary School	Co-ed	14 / 20	98 / 47	2.09x	Ballot
Temasek Primary School	Co-ed	10 / 20	103 / 50	2.06x	Ballot
Pei Hwa Presbyterian Primary School	Co-ed	51 / 20	84 / 41	2.05x	Ballot
Radin Mas Primary School	Co-ed	22 / 23	96 / 47	2.04x	Ballot
Punggol Green Primary School	Co-ed	3 / 20	118 / 58	2.03x	Ballot
Maris Stella High School (Primary)	Boys	53 / 31	124 / 62	2.00x	Ballot
Chua Chu Kang Primary School	Co-ed	16 / 30	152 / 77	1.97x	Ballot
Shuqun Primary School	Co-ed	20 / 20	79 / 41	1.93x	Ballot
Kuo Chuan Presbyterian Primary School	Co-ed	32 / 30	113 / 59	1.92x	Ballot
Ai Tong School	Co-ed	62 / 20	81 / 43	1.88x	Ballot
North View Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 20	109 / 60	1.82x	Ballot
Catholic High School (Primary)	Boys	35 / 20	72 / 40	1.80x	Ballot
Tao Nan School	Co-ed	63 / 20	81 / 45	1.80x	Ballot
Sengkang Green Primary School	Co-ed	15 / 20	84 / 48	1.75x	Ballot
Elias Park Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 22	115 / 66	1.74x	Ballot
CHIJ St. Nicholas Girls' School (Primary)	Girls	48 / 20	71 / 41	1.73x	Ballot
Methodist Girls' School (Primary)	Girls	54 / 22	78 / 45	1.73x	Ballot
Waterway Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 20	102 / 60	1.70x	Ballot
Admiralty Primary School	Co-ed	27 / 26	87 / 52	1.67x	Ballot
Fairfield Methodist School (Primary)	Co-ed	30 / 20	70 / 42	1.67x	Ballot
Frontier Primary School	Co-ed	23 / 20	66 / 40	1.65x	Ballot
Xinmin Primary School	Co-ed	19 / 24	87 / 53	1.64x	Ballot
Keming Primary School	Co-ed	21 / 33	125 / 77	1.62x	Ballot
Horizon Primary School	Co-ed	11 / 20	79 / 50	1.58x	Ballot
CHIJ Primary (Toa Payoh)	Girls	56 / 25	77 / 49	1.57x	Ballot
Tanjong Katong Primary School	Co-ed	9 / 20	83 / 53	1.57x	Ballot
Anglo-Chinese School (Junior)	Boys	61 / 30	95 / 61	1.56x	Ballot
Valour Primary School	Co-ed	3 / 20	88 / 57	1.54x	Ballot
Nanyang Primary School	Co-ed	53 / 20	63 / 42	1.50x	Ballot
Northshore Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 29	128 / 86	1.49x	Ballot
Henry Park Primary School	Co-ed	31 / 31	93 / 63	1.48x	Ballot
Huamin Primary School	Co-ed	2 / 20	86 / 58	1.48x	Ballot
St. Joseph's Institution Junior	Boys	77 / 39	115 / 78	1.47x	Ballot
Riverside Primary School	Co-ed	6 / 20	79 / 54	1.46x	Ballot
St. Anthony's Primary School	Co-ed	34 / 39	124 / 85	1.46x	Ballot
Anglo-Chinese School (Primary)	Boys	61 / 33	96 / 66	1.45x	Ballot
Pasir Ris Primary School	Co-ed	19 / 20	59 / 41	1.44x	Ballot
Sembawang Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 25	107 / 75	1.43x	Ballot
Westwood Primary School	Co-ed	7 / 20	76 / 53	1.43x	Ballot
Singapore Chinese Girls' Primary School	Girls	27 / 20	58 / 41	1.41x	Ballot
Anderson Primary School	Co-ed	25 / 29	91 / 65	1.40x	Ballot
Yu Neng Primary School	Co-ed	16 / 20	60 / 44	1.36x	Ballot
Fengshan Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 23	93 / 69	1.35x	Ballot
Jurong West Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 20	77 / 59	1.31x	Ballot
Mee Toh School	Co-ed	37 / 52	153 / 119	1.29x	Ballot
Bukit Panjang Primary School	Co-ed	20 / 26	78 / 61	1.28x	Ballot
Punggol Primary School	Co-ed	3 / 20	75 / 59	1.27x	No ballot
Paya Lebar Methodist Girls' School (Primary)	Girls	46 / 44	110 / 89	1.24x	Ballot
Raffles Girls' Primary School	Girls	31 / 49	143 / 115	1.24x	Ballot
St Andrew's Junior School	Boys	33 / 39	104 / 84	1.24x	Ballot
Canberra Primary School	Co-ed	18 / 35	105 / 87	1.21x	Ballot
Compassvale Primary School	Co-ed	19 / 38	112 / 96	1.17x	Ballot
Hougang Primary School	Co-ed	16 / 38	115 / 98	1.17x	No ballot
Ngee Ann Primary School	Co-ed	2 / 42	148 / 127	1.17x	Ballot
Rivervale Primary School	Co-ed	17 / 38	111 / 96	1.16x	Ballot
CHIJ Our Lady of the Nativity	Girls	37 / 51	131 / 116	1.13x	Ballot
Qifa Primary School	Co-ed	12 / 47	148 / 131	1.13x	Ballot
Concord Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 29	96 / 86	1.12x	Ballot
St. Margaret's School (Primary)	Girls	15 / 42	125 / 113	1.11x	No ballot
Queenstown Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 35	115 / 105	1.10x	Ballot
Alexandra Primary School	Co-ed	5 / 23	73 / 67	1.09x	Ballot
Junyuan Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 28	91 / 85	1.07x	Ballot
Kheng Cheng School	Co-ed	1 / 54	173 / 162	1.07x	Ballot
Naval Base Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 20	64 / 60	1.07x	Ballot
Chongzheng Primary School	Co-ed	10 / 44	127 / 125	1.02x	No ballot
Geylang Methodist School (Primary)	Co-ed	4 / 47	138 / 138	1.00x	No ballot
River Valley Primary School	Co-ed	14 / 35	94 / 94	1.00x	No ballot
Woodlands Primary School	Co-ed	8 / 32	87 / 90	0.97x	No ballot
Marsiling Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 35	99 / 104	0.95x	No ballot
Dazhong Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 26	72 / 80	0.90x	No ballot
Woodgrove Primary School	Co-ed	5 / 34	87 / 98	0.89x	No ballot
Haig Girls' School	Girls	20 / 39	83 / 98	0.85x	No ballot
St. Gabriel's Primary School	Boys	18 / 33	70 / 82	0.85x	No ballot
Zhangde Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 29	74 / 87	0.85x	No ballot
Jing Shan Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 20	50 / 60	0.83x	No ballot
Greenwood Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 30	75 / 91	0.82x	No ballot
Zhenghua Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 20	50 / 62	0.81x	No ballot
De La Salle School	Co-ed	12 / 51	114 / 143	0.80x	No ballot
Opera Estate Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 35	83 / 104	0.80x	No ballot
Bukit Timah Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 44	104 / 132	0.79x	Ballot
White Sands Primary School	Co-ed	2 / 35	79 / 102	0.77x	No ballot
Lakeside Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 44	97 / 130	0.75x	No ballot
Innova Primary School	Co-ed	4 / 36	77 / 105	0.73x	No ballot
Punggol View Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 26	56 / 77	0.73x	No ballot
Springdale Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 30	66 / 92	0.72x	No ballot
Evergreen Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 33	68 / 100	0.68x	No ballot
CHIJ Our Lady Queen of Peace	Girls	7 / 46	89 / 132	0.67x	No ballot
CHIJ (Katong) Primary	Girls	12 / 40	71 / 107	0.66x	No ballot
Tampines Primary School	Co-ed	2 / 44	84 / 131	0.64x	No ballot
West Spring Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 21	40 / 63	0.63x	No ballot
Pioneer Primary School	Co-ed	6 / 113	194 / 332	0.58x	No ballot
Canossa Catholic Primary School	Co-ed	14 / 24	34 / 60	0.57x	No ballot
Fern Green Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 51	85 / 153	0.56x	No ballot
Oasis Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 35	59 / 105	0.56x	No ballot
Teck Ghee Primary School	Co-ed	3 / 47	76 / 137	0.55x	No ballot
West View Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 20	32 / 61	0.52x	No ballot
Palm View Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 55	84 / 165	0.51x	No ballot
Fuchun Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 31	47 / 94	0.50x	No ballot
Peiying Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 35	53 / 105	0.50x	No ballot
Woodlands Ring Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 34	50 / 103	0.49x	No ballot
Xingnan Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 32	47 / 97	0.48x	No ballot
CHIJ Our Lady of Good Counsel	Girls	9 / 34	44 / 93	0.47x	No ballot
Casuarina Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 21	30 / 64	0.47x	No ballot
Yew Tee Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 48	68 / 144	0.47x	No ballot
Bukit View Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 67	92 / 202	0.46x	No ballot
CHIJ (Kellock)	Girls	6 / 42	57 / 123	0.46x	No ballot
Fernvale Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 52	72 / 156	0.46x	No ballot
Qihua Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 37	52 / 112	0.46x	No ballot
Xishan Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 49	66 / 146	0.45x	No ballot
Telok Kurau Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 50	63 / 150	0.42x	No ballot
Yishun Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 40	50 / 122	0.41x	No ballot
Jurong Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 40	48 / 121	0.40x	No ballot
St. Stephen's School	Boys	11 / 64	74 / 183	0.40x	No ballot
Cedar Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 48	57 / 146	0.39x	No ballot
Endeavour Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 58	68 / 174	0.39x	No ballot
Jiemin Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 34	38 / 101	0.38x	No ballot
Park View Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 37	42 / 110	0.38x	No ballot
Unity Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 48	54 / 143	0.38x	No ballot
Clementi Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 77	86 / 231	0.37x	No ballot
Beacon Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 36	38 / 107	0.36x	No ballot
North Spring Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 40	41 / 120	0.34x	No ballot
East Spring Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 55	55 / 165	0.33x	No ballot
Xinghua Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 47	45 / 140	0.32x	No ballot
Greenridge Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 29	27 / 87	0.31x	No ballot
Tampines North Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 64	60 / 191	0.31x	No ballot
West Grove Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 46	41 / 137	0.30x	No ballot
Ang Mo Kio Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 41	36 / 123	0.29x	No ballot
Mayflower Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 30	26 / 91	0.29x	No ballot
Marymount Convent School	Girls	3 / 70	55 / 206	0.27x	No ballot
Boon Lay Garden Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 45	35 / 135	0.26x	No ballot
Fuhua Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 39	31 / 119	0.26x	No ballot
North Vista Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 45	35 / 136	0.26x	No ballot
Cantonment Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 39	29 / 116	0.25x	No ballot
Si Ling Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 39	26 / 118	0.22x	No ballot
Blangah Rise Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 30	19 / 89	0.21x	No ballot
Corporation Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 36	23 / 109	0.21x	No ballot
Punggol Cove Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 42	26 / 126	0.21x	No ballot
Bendemeer Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 44	27 / 133	0.20x	No ballot
Meridian Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 48	29 / 146	0.20x	No ballot
St. Anthony's Canossian Primary School	Girls	3 / 55	33 / 164	0.20x	No ballot
Yio Chu Kang Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 37	22 / 110	0.20x	No ballot
Changkat Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 74	42 / 220	0.19x	No ballot
Farrer Park Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 43	24 / 129	0.19x	No ballot
Greendale Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 43	24 / 128	0.19x	No ballot
Ahmad Ibrahim Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 62	31 / 185	0.17x	No ballot
Teck Whye Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 48	23 / 144	0.16x	No ballot
Anchor Green Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 52	23 / 155	0.15x	No ballot
Bedok Green Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 65	30 / 195	0.15x	No ballot
Edgefield Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 59	26 / 178	0.15x	No ballot
Gan Eng Seng Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 39	17 / 116	0.15x	No ballot
Yuhua Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 58	26 / 174	0.15x	No ballot
Pei Tong Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 73	30 / 220	0.14x	No ballot
New Town Primary School	Co-ed	1 / 60	21 / 178	0.12x	No ballot
Lianhua Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 81	26 / 242	0.11x	No ballot
Montfort Junior School	Boys	5 / 41	11 / 118	0.09x	No ballot
Seng Kang Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 42	11 / 127	0.09x	No ballot
First Toa Payoh Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 50	10 / 151	0.07x	No ballot
Zhonghua Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 44	8 / 133	0.06x	No ballot
Northoaks Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 67	10 / 201	0.05x	No ballot
Yumin Primary School	Co-ed	0 / 67	10 / 201	0.05x	No ballot

The investment angle — what a school is really worth to your home

A nearby school lifts a home’s value in two different ways — and confusing them is the most common (and expensive) mistake buyers make.

1 · Affiliation — a real head-start

Only ~33 primary schools give priority admission into a specific secondary (some share a campus). Get your child in and the next step is near-locked. This is the only true “path”.

2 · Popularity + 1 km priority

For sought-after but un-affiliated schools, living within 1 km puts you first in the ballot — but you still ballot. What matters is your realistic Phase 2C chance.

A shared name is not an affiliation. Raffles Girls’ Primary is not affiliated to Raffles Girls’ School; Nan Hua Primary is not tied to Nan Hua High; Nan Chiau Primary is not tied to Nan Chiau High. For these you buy popularity and ballot odds — not a guaranteed path — so the odds matter even more.

We score each school’s Phase 2C chance = 2C vacancies ÷ 2C applicants — the open ballot most private-home buyers face (they rarely hold the alumni/clan ties Phases 2A/2B need). Within-1 km applicants ballot first, so a 1 km buyer’s real odds sit a little above this headline. Rule of thumb: a school premium tends to hold when the chance is high (~50%+) or there’s a true affiliation; when it’s low, the resale premium is thin and the rental market — families renting for a 1 km shot — is often the stronger play.

Worked examples

School (where you’d buy)	2C chance	Affiliation	The property read
Raffles Girls' Primary School near Fourth Avenue Residences · D10 Bukit Timah	80%	— none	Strong 1 km odds — but no secondary affiliation (RGS entry is by PSLE/DSA). A high-odds popularity play, not a guaranteed “Raffles path”.
Rosyth School near Affinity at Serangoon · D19 Serangoon	32%	— none	Popularity + 1 km ballot, no affiliation — a real draw, but a thinner resale premium and strong rental demand.
Nan Hua Primary School near Clementi / West Coast · D5 Clementi	25%	— none	A tight ballot and no tie to Nan Hua High — renting for the 1 km shot often beats paying the buy-in premium.
Nan Chiau Primary School near Sengkang / Fernvale · D19 Sengkang	32%	— none	Not affiliated to Nan Chiau High — Sengkang/Punggol pricing rides popularity, not a lock; similar to Rosyth.
Anglo-Chinese School (Primary) near Newton / Novena · D11 Barker Rd	69%	✓ ACS (Barker Rd)/(Independent)	One of the strongest boys’ tracks: ACS (Primary) is affiliated to both ACS (Barker Road) and ACS (Independent), then on to ACJC — a genuine path plus solid open odds. A premium worth paying for.
Nanyang Primary School near Sixth Ave / Coronation · D10 Bukit Timah	67%	✓ Nanyang Girls' High	Genuine affiliation to Nanyang Girls’ High and strong odds — here the school premium is real and durable.
Catholic High School (Primary) near Bishan / Marymount · D20 Bishan	56%	✓ Catholic High (same school)	Primary & secondary share one campus — a true through-train and a durable owner-occupier draw.

The most in-demand schools, scored

Top 22 balloted schools by Phase 2C applicants — each one’s open-ballot chance and whether it carries a real affiliation. (Full 179-school table below.)

School	2C chance	applied / places	Affiliation → secondary
Nan Chiau Primary School	32%	269/85	— none
Princess Elizabeth Primary School	18%	232/41	— none
Poi Ching School	47%	212/99	— none
Pioneer Primary School	Walk-in	194/332	— none
Kheng Cheng School	94%	173/162	— none
Angsana Primary School	35%	167/59	— none
Nan Hua Primary School	25%	166/41	— none
South View Primary School	26%	155/41	— none
Hong Wen School	41%	153/62	— none
Mee Toh School	78%	153/119	✓ Manjusri Secondary
Chua Chu Kang Primary School	51%	152/77	— none
Ngee Ann Primary School	86%	148/127	✓ Ngee Ann Secondary
Qifa Primary School	89%	148/131	— none
Raffles Girls' Primary School	80%	143/115	— none
Northland Primary School	29%	142/41	— none
Chongfu School	29%	138/40	— none
Geylang Methodist School (Primary)	Walk-in	138/138	✓ Geylang Methodist Sec
St. Hilda's Primary School	32%	136/43	✓ St Hilda's Secondary
Rosyth School	32%	132/42	— none
CHIJ Our Lady of the Nativity	89%	131/116	✓ CHIJ St Joseph's Convent
Northshore Primary School	67%	128/86	— none
Chongzheng Primary School	98%	127/125	— none

How is this worked out? — odds, affiliations & sources

2C chance

Official MOE 2025 Phase 2C vacancies ÷ applicants; “Walk-in” = places ≥ applicants (no ballot). This is the overall 2C ratio — within-1 km applicants ballot first, so a 1 km buyer’s real chance is somewhat higher.

Affiliation

A genuine priority/discount into the named secondary, from the published list of ~33 affiliated primary schools (sgschooling.com/affiliations, cross-checked with MOE SchoolFinder).

Note: shared names or heritage (e.g. Nan Hua, Nan Chiau, Raffles Girls’) do not confer affiliation. Odds move year to year.

A screening guide for educational purposes only — not advice; verify with the school and MOE before you buy or rent.