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Methodology

Every number on HomeVestor is computed from public data by a stated rule — no hand-waving, no opinions for hire. This page documents exactly how the market signal, the scores and the signal labels are derived, so you can judge them for yourself. Last updated 12 Jul 2026.

The market signal

The signal sentence on the market dashboard is assembled deterministically from the data on each refresh — there is no language model at runtime. Each clause maps to one rule:

ClauseRule
MomentumHeadline PPI q-o-q vs the prior quarter: moderating if lower by >0.1pp, accelerating if higher by >0.1pp, easing if negative, else steady.
Segment divergenceSpread between the strongest and weakest of CCR/RCR/OCR q-o-q. If ≥2.0pp, flagged uneven and the leader/laggards named.
Rent vs priceMarket rent q-o-q vs PPI q-o-q: rents lagging (yields compress), outpacing (yield support), or tracking.
Supply pressureConfirmed GLS supply vs the 10-year average, plus unsold inventory releasable within ~2 years.
VacancyIncluded only when a verified figure is available for the quarter; otherwise omitted (never estimated).
Closing frameA generic risk-framing clause triggers when rents lag prices or segments diverge — data-descriptive, never a buy/sell instruction.
Current signal: Price growth is moderating (+0.5% in 2026-Q2 vs +0.9% prior). Growth is uneven across segments — CCR +2.0% leads while RCR -1.4% and OCR -0.2% soften. Rents are tracking prices (+0.6%). Confirmed GLS supply for 2026 (9,320 units) runs over 50% above the 10-year average, with ~32,000 unsold units releasable within about two years. Underwrite rents conservatively and stress-test holding power.
As of 2026-Q2 flash (1 Jul 2026).

Yield

Gross yield = (median monthly rent psf × 12) ÷ median sale price psf for the same project over the trailing 4 quarters, with a minimum of 5 rental contracts and 8 sale caveats — otherwise the window is widened and labelled, or "insufficient data" is shown. The net-yield estimate deducts IRAS non-owner-occupier property tax (on AV ≈ annual rent), maintenance (<700 sqft $300/mo, 700–1,100 $380/mo, >1,100 $480/mo), a 5% vacancy allowance, agent fee ~4.2% of annual rent, and minor repairs 2%. Always shown as an estimate with the assumptions expandable.

Liquidity

Trailing-12-month resale caveats. Where the total unit count is known from URA sources, we normalise per 100 units: >6 deep · 3–6 moderate · <3 thin. Where unit count is unknown we show absolute counts only — we never estimate unit counts from third-party portals.

Signal labels

Data pages carry only a closed set of labels; each renders only when its trigger rule is met, and free-text verdicts never appear on data pages (only in clearly-marked, human-reviewed “HomeVestor view” boxes).

LabelTriggers when
Yield-lednet-yield estimate in top quartile of segment
Liquidity-deep>6 resale caveats per 100 units, trailing 12 mo
Liquidity-thin<3 resale caveats per 100 units, trailing 12 mo
Resale discount vs new launchmedian resale psf > 15% below comparable new-sale psf
New-launch premium nearbycomparable new-sale psf > 15% above resale
Growth-corridorproject falls in a curated URA growth corridor
Family-demandtop quartile of family-demand proxy
Lease-sensitive99-yr tenure with < 70 yrs remaining
Momentum watch12-mo median psf change beyond +/- 1 sigma of segment

Honesty rules

Medians only (never means); $psf outliers and en-bloc rows excluded; thin samples flagged; recent quarters marked “may revise as late caveats lodge”; flash estimates marked as flash. On the district league table, the raw median can swing on low volume, so thin districts are flagged — the URA hedonic price index, not a raw median, is the authoritative price signal.

Data sources

URA Data Service (caveats, rentals — trailing 5 years), data.gov.sg (URA Property Price Index, HDB resale, supply), HDB, MAS (SORA, TDSR/LTV), IRAS (duties, property tax), MOE (schools), OneMap/SLA (maps), CPF. Regulatory parameters are verified at build time and stored with an as-of date. We do not use REALIS or any competitor portal as a source.

For educational purposes only — not financial advice. Figures are estimates from public data and may contain errors; verify independently before transacting.